Natchitoches, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

677
FXUS64 KSHV 252346
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
646 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

We have a nice cu field on visible satellite early this
afternoon, along with some scattered convection initiating to the
west of the region. Confidence is still good on holding off on a
Heat Advisory today, as apparent temps are below guidance in most
areas. But we will keep an eye on heat indices through the
afternoon to make sure a product doesn`t become necessary later.

Based on the diurnal convection trends from last few days, I
bumped up PoPs for the first few hours past 00z tonight. These
showers will decrease throughout the night as cooling sets in.
Overnight lows tonight will continue to be in the low to mid 70s
that they have been for the last few nights.

With an upper-level ridge firmly over the region, this warm trend
will continue into tomorrow and tomorrow night. More afternoon
storms will be accompanied by temperatures in the low 90s in most
areas, but parts of LA and AR will be flirting with the upper
90s. /57/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

Our upper-level ridge will begin to be chipped away by an inverted
trough coming in from the east beginning on Friday. This trough
will help bring back more widespread rain chances through the
weekend, especially for our south and eastern zones. This will be
in addition to any afternoon pop ups that develop from daytime
heating. Despite this, there will still be plenty of heat and
humidity. A Heat Advisory may be necessary depending on how much
mixing is expected in the near-term environment. These rain
chances will increase in both value and coverage as the work week
begins next week with some upper-level support. Guidance is also
suggesting that temperatures will be gradually increasing through
the long term period, which could be enough for us to issue some
more heat products. /57/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

Scattered TSRA is present across the airspace this afternoon.
Expectation is for what is present to only last for another 2-3
hours before collapsing after sunset. Overnight, the FEW/SCT
coverage in place should turn to SKC/FEW with a SCT250 appearance
aloft. Similar to previous forecasts, returning low clouds through
the late morning and early afternoon hours, with another
afternoon CU field at or below 5kft between 18-21z. Hi-res
guidance advertises scattered convection returning once again just
before 00z, with a focus across the south and eastern terminals to
start. Terminal winds will remain southerly through the period
between 5-10kt, aside from instances of VRB due to influencing
vicinity convection.

KNAPP

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 133 AM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

While diurnally driven convection will likely result in thunderstorms
capable of producing strong wind gusts, the need for Spotter
activation resulting from widespread severe thunderstorms is not
likely through tonight.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  94  76  96 /  20  10   0   0
MLU  75  95  74  96 /  20  10   0  10
DEQ  70  91  71  92 /  20   0   0   0
TXK  73  95  75  95 /  20  10   0   0
ELD  72  94  72  96 /  20  10   0  10
TYR  72  89  73  91 /  20  20   0   0
GGG  72  91  73  93 /  20  10   0   0
LFK  71  91  72  93 /  20  20   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57
LONG TERM....57
AVIATION...53